Category Archives: Hurricane and TS Swells

Michael Cat4

Monday evening when the swell 1st hit.

Noon Thursday St Pete

Thursday Noon Update: Looks waist occ chest. st pete looks fun.

Thurs 7am WFL Update: GM GC surfed out yet? In the pre dawn light the surf has dropped off a bit. 098 our lone sentinel is reading 5ft@8 west. Last night most of the 10 second west swell imploded on the snad bars. There will still be some fun waves at the right spots today but it looks not that great on the cams at the moment with solid onshore winds. Manatee Cnty looked bigger and chunkier than Venice this am, call the best spots chest high and choppy this am. The winds have already dropped and will continue to do so thru the morning so maybe mid morning the surf will look better. Tomorrow looks 1 to maybe 2ft and the weekend pretty calm as some slightly cooler air filters into the state. Next week looks a little interesting for WFL so check back. How do you rate the Michael swell? How was the water? Did you get sick? Let us know in the comments. Thanks! and thanks to everyone who donated! your generosity is much appreciated. ill be busy those weekends.

One from yesterday.


Wednesday 7am WFL DP Report: Michael is a beast. Same size and strength as Maria. I feel super bad for those guys. Meanwhile on the cams at dawn the wind has gone SSE and SE and the sideshore wind, actually looks to me like it’s knocking down the size on the cams in B-ton. Call it chest to head high getting choppy with strong sideshore winds. Jetty spots and north Pinellas spots that face the north will be cleaner. The swell is chunky 6-8ft@11 seconds and pure SW with a solid period so it should get in. If it’s not that big at your spot it’s the shallow shelf that is knocking it down. Storm tide(PORTS data) at 4ft so take that into effect also, needs a shallow sand bar. I hope you score. Tomorrow, the west swell should be in the water, chest high swell with 10-15knt W and NW winds(disclaimer- this forecast is based on the Ivan event, very similar you never know, yesterday’s dp was a knee high freak out but the real swell was just a few hours late, we’ll talk about that later) I hope the folks in the panhandle stay safe. I have a feeling they are going to need some help after this monster is said and done.

Site Note-
Talking about needing help- my pc died, we get storms here but lately it has been super juiced and violent. my pc got damaged and needs to be replaced(estimated $400) if you feel like helping you can hit the donate button… sorry for the peripheral garbage on here, a necessary evil at this point and Im trying to figure out how the new layout works, be patient… update mid day… if you scored tell us about it in the comments.




 

 


Tuesday 7am WFL: The flow is super strong offshore and no real swell has shown up from Michael yet. Any time now some lines should start rolling in this morning but at the moment it is a 1ft skim line up and down the coast, maybe knee plus at the very best spot. weird it was bigger last night but it is on the way… I gotta go to work, update after lunch. Hope you are there when it fills in and you get some fun waves.

Monday am WFL Surf Forecast:
Michael went thru a period of rapid intensification. The swell will be pushing up into the gulf tonight and should be on the beach in the am (disclaimer: with the gulf it can be super fickle but it should not be flat for the dp tomorrow). Building surf on Tuesday as the wind clocks from ESE to SSE by afternoon Tuesday. With the intensity bumped up head high surf will be on tap with the possibility of OH surf at the best spots in the afternoon thru Wednesday as the SW part of the swell looks to be real chunky. Thursday the swell starts to drop but still plenty rideable. Thursday could glass off at some point too with residual swell from the southern gulf still hitting the best south swell spots. Water quality: Feel free to use the comments for updates on where to surf. It’s been flat for a long time and we all need to get some but where? where is the clean water? anywhere? also if anyone gets sick let us know, public service announcement style. We all have surfed in red tide before- what makes this one worse? I heard the algae in SE FL is more dangerous to humans than red tide. Try not to get sick…

Sunday 7am WFL Tropics: take it with a grain of salt but from what I saw tomorrow will be calm but Tuesday will see building south swell in the morning, maybe a good day to DP but it depends on how much swell comes in and how early. The wind should still be offshore Tuesday am like ESE at 15 plus with my guess waist high south swell at best spots. Tuesday the surf will get better as Michael moves up in to the gulf. The winds may clock as soon as mid day Tuesday going SSE then south so Jettys would be the call. Wednesday looks like chunky SW swell, head high plus at the best spots but with 20knt SW winds. Smaller leftovers for Thursday. That’s how it looks to me… Stoked for you guys…
PR: Leslie started on 9/20 as a piece of energy from Florence broke off and stalled in the middle ATL. What has made Leslie so special is the high next to her sending a great fetch straight at the Caribbean. Leslie has one more pulse expected Thursday this week. By then she will be headed into history… This has been the longest storm I can remember…

Saturday 3pm WFL:
Sorry for the non report this am. Im sure you’ve seen… we got tropics! stoked for you guys. I hear the water quality is better is some places than in others so check around as you get ready to surf. The h2o quality could factor into where you surf. we gained a day on the forecast, best spots could see something coming up on the 9th, try to surf the beginning of the swell when it will be offshore… then it will go onshore hard as he heads north. Maybe CLW will be good when it’s hard south. Wax em up!

WFL 7am 60% Updater for Friday: Since yesterday the surf chances have increased a bit. 90hrs and the waves are on the way. Yesterday was 120hrs so it’s been consistent for a day now as the models bite on the pattern. It’s pretty easy to figure out; Leslie finally slides east and the high slips in behind her, on the corner of the high, low pressure forms in the NW Caribbean. It is forecast to ride up the Yucatan leaving it’s right side (the south wind side) in the channel vs the gradient against the high and shooting a fetch into the southern gulf. I’m not looking for organization. Im looking for south winds in the channel or southern gulf. Organization will help but it’s all about the fetch. I’m sticking with the 10th as the potential day for some swell but don’t start planning quite yet like we’ve said be4 just keep it flojo but it’s looking like some waves on the way next week. 🙂


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